Adrià Rivero is a private investor and stock market analyst who shares his expertise and investment insights on his YouTube channel, "Adrià Rivero - Inversión en Bolsa" (@adriarivero). With over 89,100 subscribers, Adrià has established himself as a valuable resource for individuals interested in learning how to invest their money in the stock market. His channel covers a wide range of topics, including how to invest in the stock market, investment strategies, financial education, and how to invest in the stock market for beginners and with little money. As a content creator, Adrià is dedicated to teaching viewers how to make their money work for them, rather than simply working to earn money. His videos offer practical advice and ideas for those looking to navigate the complexities of the stock market and improve their financial literacy. The channel is a go-to destination for anyone seeking investment insights and analysis of market trends.
by Adrià Rivero - Inversión en Bolsa | 19/04/2025 09:00 AM | GXO
🚚 GXO is a global leader in contract logistics outsourcing, managing supply chains for major companies like Nike and PepsiCo, benefiting from the trend of externalization.
🤖 Competitive advantages stem from scale, high customer retention (95%), long-term contracts, significant investment in automation and robotics (30% vs 8% sector average), and switching costs, particularly when GXO controls the facility.
📉 Recent share price decline, partly due to CEO departure (retirement), presents an attractive entry point (~11-12x earnings) for a quality company with strong growth prospects (15% EPS growth target) and a rejected takeover offer far above the current price.
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by Adrià Rivero - Inversión en Bolsa | 19/04/2025 09:00 AM | BARN
🍫 Barry Callebaut, the world's largest chocolate manufacturer, faces challenges from the cocoa price surge but benefits from contracts that pass inflation to clients like Nestle and Mondelez, protecting its margins better than competitors.
📉 The crisis increases working capital needs due to higher inventory costs, leading to negative free cash flow and requiring more debt, although Barry's strong balance sheet (investment grade) and low borrowing costs mitigate this risk.
🥇 As the best-positioned player with scale advantages, Barry could gain market share if smaller competitors falter, offering a long-term opportunity despite short-term volume declines and market volatility. Valuation is attractive at 10x earnings vs. historical 25x.
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by Adrià Rivero - Inversión en Bolsa | 17/04/2025 09:30 AM | AAPL
⚠️ Apple's price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple is significantly elevated, currently double the historical market average, raising concerns about its sustainability.
📉 If Apple's P/E ratio were to revert to a more normalized level (around 16.5x), its substantial weight within the S&P 500 index could potentially be halved.
📊 Apple is highlighted as part of a group of top S&P 500 companies (including Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon) trading at a high average P/E of 33x expected 2025 earnings, suggesting potential headwinds for future stock returns if multiples contract.
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by Adrià Rivero - Inversión en Bolsa | 12/04/2025 09:00 AM | GMAB
🔪 An investor case study showed selling Genmab after a 32% loss prevented a much larger 65% decline, highlighting the 'assassin' strategy.
⏱️ Setting predefined stop-loss levels, like 20-33%, can protect capital by forcing sales before drawdowns become unrecoverable.
📉 While cutting losses limits upside if a stock recovers, it crucially preserves capital for future, potentially better opportunities.
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by Adrià Rivero - Inversión en Bolsa | 12/04/2025 09:00 AM | AKSO.OL
🏹 A 'hunter' investor turned a potential 40% loss in Aker Solutions into a 24% gain by strategically buying more shares as the price fell.
💰 Averaging down requires strong conviction in the original investment thesis remaining intact despite the price decline.
⚠️ This strategy involves concentration risk and should only be applied to businesses understood deeply, eventually selling if the thesis breaks.
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