by Arte de invertir | 14/04/2025 10:30 AM | DG
🛡️ Dollar General benefits from low exposure to tariffs (only 4% imports vs. 40% for Dollar Tree) as it primarily sells locally sourced goods like food and beverages.
📈 The company shows signs of recovery after facing challenges like wage hikes and inventory issues, with Q4 sales and comparable store sales increasing, and inventory levels reducing.
🏪 Continued expansion (700 new stores, 1600 remodels) and a valuation below historical averages (15x P/E vs. 18x) suggest management confidence and potential upside.
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by Arte de invertir | 14/04/2025 10:30 AM | CPB
🛡️ Campbell Soup shows resilience to tariffs due to its local U.S. production and consumption model for essential food products.
📉 Despite recent volume declines from price hikes, early signs of volume recovery (1% growth in Q3/Q4 2024) alongside price increases suggest potential stabilization.
💰 The stock trades near 10-year valuation lows (12x P/E vs. 16x average) and offers a 4% dividend yield, but requires sustained growth to justify multiple expansion.
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by Arte de invertir | 14/04/2025 10:30 AM | IFF
🌍 IFF operates a dominant, reputation-based business providing essential ingredients for food and fragrances, benefiting from global middle-class growth and stable demand (70% recurring revenue).
🏭 The company's global network of 150 local manufacturing plants minimizes tariff impacts and ensures proximity to customers.
📉 Trading below its historical valuation (17x P/E vs. 21x+ average) despite solid recent performance and positive growth outlook for 2025, IFF presents a potential value opportunity.
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by Arte de invertir | 14/04/2025 10:30 AM | XOM
🛢️ Exxon Mobil possesses vast oil reserves providing high visibility for earnings growth through 2030, attracting investors seeking certainty amid market uncertainty.
💰 The stock trades at a significant discount (<12x 2025 P/E) compared to the S&P 500 (19x P/E) and offers an attractive dividend yield near 4%.
📈 Long-term oil market dynamics appear favorable, with rising demand projected and lagging supply investment potentially supporting higher prices, benefiting low-cost producers like Exxon.
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by Arte de invertir | 14/04/2025 10:30 AM | FILA.MI
💎 Fila Spa presents a compelling special situation where the market value of its stake in the high-growth Indian subsidiary (DOMS) nearly equals Fila's entire market capitalization.
📈 The core Fila business (art supplies, school materials) generates stable profits (€60-70M annually) and is essentially being valued at zero by the market.
💰 Management is actively unlocking value by selling parts of the DOMS stake to reduce debt and return cash to shareholders, highlighted by a high current dividend yield (7.8%).
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