Clave Bursátil is a leading YouTube channel and the primary community for individual investors in Argentina, boasting over 112,000 subscribers. The channel is a comprehensive resource for anyone interested in investment insights, particularly in the Argentine market. The content creator behind Clave Bursátil offers in-depth analysis and educational content on a wide range of financial topics, including the Dollar, Bitcoin, Trading, general Investments, Cryptocurrencies, CEDEARS, Stocks, the Stock Market, Merval, and strategies for learning how to invest effectively.
As a prominent content creator, Clave Bursátil provides weekly programs, webinars, talks, and various types of content focused on investments. This makes the YouTube channel an invaluable tool for both novice and experienced investors seeking to navigate the complexities of the market. The channel's dedication to covering diverse topics such as #Dolar, #Merval, #WallStreet, #Crypto, #Finanzas, and #Inversiones ensures that viewers stay informed about the latest market trends and investment opportunities. Clave Bursátil is committed to empowering its audience with the knowledge needed to make informed investment decisions.
by Clave Bursátil | 15/04/2025 03:22 PM | DICP
📈 The current mix of rising inflation expectations alongside positive market sentiment (falling risk premium) creates a favorable backdrop for CER (inflation-linked) bonds.
⭐ The DCP bond is highlighted as a preferred choice for holding within the CER space due to its historically attractive yield relative to peers like PARP, CUAP, and TX28.
💡 While other CER bonds like TX26/TX28 are used for trading, and bullet bonds like TZX28 have specific niche uses (e.g., bank fee waivers), DCP stands out for its general hold appeal.
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by Clave Bursátil | 15/04/2025 03:22 PM | GD38
📈 Hard dollar bonds have recovered, re-entering their previous upward technical channel after a dip.
⏳ Longer-duration bonds like GD38 are preferred over shorter ones (like AL30) as they currently only pay coupons, avoiding complexities from capital repayments (amortization).
💰 Anticipation of upcoming coupon payments in July, potentially supported by IMF funds, suggests further price appreciation potential for these bonds.
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by Clave Bursátil | 15/04/2025 03:22 PM | TZB25
📉 Dollar-linked instruments generally underperformed the recent dollar jump, as much of the move was already anticipated and priced in before the Cepo removal.
🚪 The "Puerta 12" effect was observed: devaluation occurred long before maturity, leading to selling pressure after the event as the bonds lost their primary appeal.
🤔 While some bonds like TZB25 or corporate ONs (Gemsa, Sami) now trade at potentially attractive implicit dollar rates (below the official rate), their appeal is diminished post-devaluation, and company-specific risks remain.
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by Clave Bursátil | 15/04/2025 03:22 PM | Blog
📊 Analysis suggests potential high returns from investing in Peso fixed-rate bonds (like T15E7) funded by selling dollars, even considering future dollar appreciation scenarios.
⚖️ The strategy's success heavily depends on the stability of the current exchange rate policy; post-election changes represent a significant risk.
🌍 New regulations allowing foreign investors (with a 6-month minimum stay) could increase USD supply, potentially supporting the carry trade environment in the short term.
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by Clave Bursátil | 15/04/2025 11:56 AM | DJIA
📉 The Dow Jones (DA) shows a confirmed double top pattern, followed by a pullback to the structure before resuming its fall, indicating a bearish reversal.
⚠️ Similar bearish patterns (double tops, pullbacks, weakness) are observed in the S&P 500 (PIS) and Nasdaq, reinforcing the negative outlook for the broader US market.
📉 The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for major US indices failed to surpass the 50 level during rebounds, signaling a lack of upward momentum and confirming the downtrend.
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