by Clave Bursátil | 05/04/2025 12:45 PM | GGAL
📊 Grupo Financiero Galicia's stock (GGAL) shows a significantly weaker technical picture compared to the overall Argentine Merval index during the recent downturn.
📉 Technical analysis identifies the primary trendline support for GGAL much lower than its current price, suggesting a potential drop of approximately 50%.
⚠️ The stock closed at $48, but its key support level, based on the trend initiated in 2022, is estimated to be around $25, indicating substantial downside risk if the sell-off continues.
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by Clave Bursátil | 04/04/2025 04:51 PM | GOOGL
📊 Comparative analysis suggests Google's valuation might be misaligned ('descalibrado') relative to peers like Apple and Microsoft, considering its sales, earnings, and cash flow projections.
📉 Key valuation metrics, such as Price/Earnings (below 20) and Price/Sales, are currently sitting at unusually low levels for the company, indicating potential undervaluation.
💪 Fundamental strength is evident through improving margins, high ROIC (Return on Invested Capital), significant share buybacks, strong liquidity, and negative net debt (more cash than debt).
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by Clave Bursátil | 03/04/2025 06:49 PM | EWZ
📈 Brazil's market shows resilience and potential decoupling from US downturns, presenting a unique investment opportunity.
🗳️ Upcoming elections and potential political shifts in 2025 could provide a tailwind for Brazilian assets, currently seen as potentially undervalued after a significant drop in 2024.
💰 EWZ offers broad exposure to Brazil's potential but active management (like the discussed Patrimonio 7 fund) might outperform by selectively choosing stocks and avoiding weaker index components.
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by Clave Bursátil | 03/04/2025 06:49 PM | MELI
🇧🇷 MercadoLibre demonstrates strength, holding steady or rising slightly even as major US stocks fall sharply after tariff news.
📊 Over 40% of MercadoLibre's business operations are in Brazil, tying its success closely to the Brazilian market's performance and economic health.
💡 Its inclusion in the new Brazil-focused fund (Patrimonio 7) highlights its perceived opportunity and strategic importance within the Latin American region.
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by Clave Bursátil | 25/03/2025 03:16 PM | YPF
⚠️ This specific YPF corporate bond (ON) maturing in 2034 offers a very attractive high coupon (8.25% TNA), but comes with significant risks due to its long duration and high sensitivity to market news and interest rate changes.
🎢 Investors should be aware that while YPF is a profitable company unlikely to default, this long-term bond is highly volatile; its price (paridad) could easily drop significantly (e.g., to 80 or lower) due to market conditions, lawsuits, or political shifts, even if coupon payments continue.
🤔 The bond is presented as suitable only for investors with a high-risk tolerance who understand and can withstand potential large price fluctuations over the long term, explicitly warning conservative or novice investors against it despite the appealing yield.
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