by Marcos Emmi MFP | 05/05/2025 07:15 AM | YPF
⚠️ Caution is advised due to the global decline in oil prices, which directly impacts energy companies like YPF, potentially pressuring revenues.
🤔 While the CEO expressed optimism about Vaca Muerta potential (targeting $43), market conditions and technicals present a mixed picture requiring careful consideration.
📉 The stock has seen significant gains (600% from lows), but recent price action shows smaller highs and potentially larger lows, indicating possible consolidation or correction risk.
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by Marcos Emmi MFP | 05/05/2025 07:15 AM | MELI
📈 The stock shows a positive technical outlook, having experienced a strong rebound recently, suggesting upward momentum.
📊 The weekly chart remains bullish, supporting the potential for further upside despite upcoming earnings volatility.
⚠️ Caution is advised due to the imminent earnings report on Wednesday, which coincides with Fed Chair Powell speaking, potentially increasing market uncertainty.
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by Marcos Emmi MFP | 04/05/2025 02:00 PM | ALBA
🚨 Reports indicate Albanesi Energía has suspended dividend payments, triggering investor concern and highlighting potential financial instability.
📉 The speaker strongly reiterates a long-standing warning to exit Obligaciones Negociables (ONs), citing Albanesi's situation as a prime example of the associated risks.
⚠️ The risk-reward profile of Albanesi's corporate bonds (ONs) is deemed unfavorable, with yields considered insufficient compensation for the inherent risks, especially compared to safer alternatives.
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by Marcos Emmi MFP | 02/05/2025 01:00 PM | US10Y
📉 The US Treasury yield curve is inverted, a classic indicator where short-term yields are higher than long-term yields.
😟 This inversion signals strong market expectations that inflation will fall significantly in the short term, often preceding an economic downturn or recession.
⚠️ Investors are crowding into short-term bonds, indicating they perceive significant near-term market risk and are avoiding longer-term commitments (duration).
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by Marcos Emmi MFP | 02/05/2025 07:14 AM | MELI
📊 Technical analysis on the 4-hour chart suggests a potential divergence forming for MercadoLibre's stock.
📉 This divergence indicates a higher probability of a short-term price correction or pullback before the upcoming earnings report.
⏳ Investors should monitor the stock closely around the earnings release, considering the technical signals for potential entry or exit points.
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