YPF Surges 12% as Oil Rebounds: Is the Bull Trend Intact?
📈 YPF's ADR jumped 12% in the week, reaching its weekly high at $32.70, driven by a nearly 5% rebound in oil prices.
🛢️ The oil market saw a positive shift despite OPEC's decision to increase supply, counteracted by news of U.S. oil companies reaching peak production, balancing supply expectations.
📊 YPF's bullish trend remains intact after a significant correction earlier in the year, outperforming banking stocks this week, unlike previous weeks.
YPF on the Move: Bullish Signals Amid Resistance
📈 YPF is currently in an upward trend ("en carrera") but faces resistance near the 40,000 (pesos) level.
👍 If currently holding the stock, the recommendation is to maintain the position and not sell yet, as the speaker would wait.
🐂 A bullish divergence on the 4-hour chart suggests the stock price is likely to increase further, indicating it "tiene que subir" (has to go up).
YPF in the Red Again: Opportunity or Trap for Investors?
📉 YPF reported a second consecutive quarter of losses, with results below market expectations.
🤔 Despite negative results, the stock showed some upward movement, and the broader Argentine energy sector is seen as having significant growth potential, particularly with Vaca Muerta.
⚠️ The energy sector, including YPF, faces challenges in capitalizing on its resources, often hindered by infrastructure issues or other setbacks, leading to underperformance.
IPF: Opportunity in Obligations or Stock Under Pressure?
📜 IPF is issuing new dollar-linked negotiable obligations, offering a 7% rate with a 24-month term, which could be an interesting fixed-income opportunity.
📉 Despite positive fundamentals like its leadership in Vaca Muerta, the stock (IPF) has recently declined, and the speaker notes it's currently 'mala' (bad/poorly performing).
🤔 The speaker expresses a personal liking for the company ('a mí me gusta') but advises caution due to the current downtrend, suggesting a 'tradeo' (trading) approach rather than a buy-and-hold for now.
YPF: CEO Optimism vs. Falling Oil Prices
⚠️ Caution is advised due to the global decline in oil prices, which directly impacts energy companies like YPF, potentially pressuring revenues.
🤔 While the CEO expressed optimism about Vaca Muerta potential (targeting $43), market conditions and technicals present a mixed picture requiring careful consideration.
📉 The stock has seen significant gains (600% from lows), but recent price action shows smaller highs and potentially larger lows, indicating possible consolidation or correction risk.
Argentine Energy Giant YPF Tumbles Amid Market Woes
📉 YPF's ADR plummeted nearly 9% during the week, reflecting significant investor concern and underperformance compared to regional peers.
📉 Technical analysis shows the stock broke below the 200-day moving average after failing to surpass shorter-term averages, now facing further downside towards its underlying trendline support.
🛢️ A negative outlook for crude oil prices, potentially falling towards $50 following OPEC's decision to increase production, poses a significant headwind for YPF and the Argentine energy sector.
