
Hedge Against the Crash: Why Long-Term Bonds Could Soar
🛡️ Long-term U.S. Treasury bonds, accessible via ETFs like TLT, historically rise when the Fed cuts interest rates during economic crises, potentially offsetting stock market losses.
📈 Current yields on 20+ year Treasury bonds are relatively high (around 4.8% discussed), presenting an attractive entry point if rates fall towards the historical neutral range (2-3%) in the coming years.
🔄 Investing in this type of bond ETF offers strategic flexibility; it can potentially be sold at a profit during a market crash, providing liquidity to buy undervalued stocks.

Treasury Bonds Falter: Is This Safe Haven Broken?
📉 The TLT ETF, representing long-term US Treasury bonds, has significantly underperformed, losing 5% recently and 50% over the last five years, failing its traditional role as a portfolio stabilizer.
🇨🇳 Major holders like China are selling US debt due to geopolitical tensions, putting downward pressure on bond prices.
🏦 Central banks face constraints; intervening to buy bonds and stabilize the market could exacerbate already high inflation, leaving bonds vulnerable.

TLT: Proceed with Caution on U.S. Bonds ETF
⚠️ TLT is an ETF with U.S. bonds.
🤔 It is being speculated that the Fed might lower interest rates further.
🚩 This ETF should be watched carefully.